Judging from the development of the electric bicycle market in recent years, the capacity of this market has been basically saturated. It is estimated that the global electric bicycle market will have a sales volume of approximately 35 million in 2017, of which the Chinese market is about 25 million. At present, more than 90% of the global electric bicycle production capacity is concentrated in China. Although the development of lithium-ion electric bicycles in the European and American markets will stimulate the production capacity in these areas to a certain extent, China's production capacity will remain above 85% in the next few years. The high proportion.
In the power supply of electric bicycles, lithium ion batteries have begun the development process of large-scale replacement of lead-acid batteries in the case of the near-cost ratio of the two. At the same time, the “Specifications and Dimensions of Lithium Ion Battery Products for Electric Bicycles†published by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology was officially implemented on June 1, 2013. This has also played a positive role in accelerating the process of replacing lithium-ion batteries with lead-acid batteries.
Ma Zhongchao, chairman of the China Bicycle Association, mentioned in the 2013 China Lithium-Ion New Energy Industry International Summit Forum (ABEC2013, Lithium Power “Davosâ€) that China’s electric bicycle industry has reached a crossroads in progress, facing the transformation There is no alternative to upgrading. According to this, the China Bicycle Association has formulated the industrial development idea of ​​technological innovation. At the same time, a new product with the function of the industrial engine has come to the fore. This product is the lithium battery power and light structure that the association has been vigorously advocating in recent years. Intelligent power booster lithium battery version of the electric bicycle.
In the speech, Ma Zhongchao reported two good news: The Beijing Municipal Bureau of Industry and Commerce recently announced the 18th batch of electric bicycles that can be sold in Beijing, covering hundreds of models of 38 enterprises, all of which are lithium-ion electric bicycles. Much more than expected. Of the 38 companies, Tianjin has 24 companies, plus 28 in Beijing, Shanxi, Shandong and other regions; the remaining 10 are covered by companies in Guangdong, Zhejiang, Jiangsu and Shanghai. 2 Tianjin City clearly stated in the five-year plan for bicycle industry development that by 2017, the output of electric bicycles will reach 20 million, of which the proportion of lithium-ion vehicles will reach 30%, and specific government departments will be appointed to implement support.
The five-year plan for the development of the electric bicycle industry in Tianjin is mainly led by the Tianjin Electric Bicycle Association. Judging from its goal of 6 million vehicles in 2017, the association's view on the development of lithium-ion electric bicycles is similar to that of the China Bicycle Association, which is quite conservative, which is quite different from the optimism of true lithium research.
Here, Lithium Research puts these different perspectives together so that everyone can compare them so that they can see the development of this industry more clearly. Ma Zhongchao, chairman of the China Bicycle Association, believes that there are three main factors affecting the rapid replacement of lead-acid batteries in lithium-ion batteries in the field of electric bicycles: 1 technical constraints; 2 conceptual constraints; 3 cost-effective constraints. True lithium research believes that these three factors do exist, but they see the difficulties a bit too big, and at the same time, they are not very familiar with the rapid progress of lithium-ion battery technology.
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